Сибирский федеральный университет

Тип публикации: статья из журнала

Год издания: 2023

Идентификатор DOI: 10.1111/gcb.16543

Аннотация: <jats:title>Abstract</jats:title><jats:p>Despite growing interest in predicting plant phenological shifts, advanced spring phenology by global climate change remains debated. Evidence documenting either small or large advancement of spring phenology to rising temperature over the spatio-temporal scales implies a potential existence of a thermal threshold in the responses of forests to global warming. We collected a unique data set of xylem cell-wall-thickening onset dates in 20 coniferous species covering a broad mean annual temperature (MAT) gradient (−3.05 to 22.9°C) across the Northern Hemisphere (latitudes 23°–66° N). Along the MAT gradient, we identified a threshold temperature (using segmented regression) of 4.9 ± 1.1°C, above which the response of xylem phenology to rising temperatures significantly decline. This threshold separates the Northern Hemisphere conifers into cold and warm thermal niches, with MAT and spring forcing being the primary drivers for the onset dates (estimated by linear and Bayesian mixed-effect models), respectively. The identified thermal threshold should be integrated into the Earth-System-Models for a better understanding of spring phenology in response to global warming and an improved prediction of global climate-carbon feedbacks.</jats:p>

Журнал: Global Change Biology

Выпуск журнала: Т.29, №6

Номера страниц: 1606-1617

ISSN журнала: 13541013

Издатель: John Wiley &amp; Sons

• Huang Jian-Guo (MOE Key Laboratory of Biosystems Homeostasis and Protection College of Life Sciences, Zhejiang University Hangzhou China)
• Zhang Yaling (South China National Botanical Garden Guangzhou China)
• Wang Minhuang (Department of Ecology, School of Life Sciences, State Key Laboratory of Biocontrol Sun Yat-sen University Guangzhou China)
• Yu Xiaohan (School of Engineering and Built Environment Griffith University Brisbane Australia)
• Deslauriers Annie (Laboratoire sur les écosystèmes terrestres boréaux, Département des Sciences Fondamentales Université du Québec à Chicoutimi Chicoutimi Quebec Canada)
• Fonti Patrick (Swiss Federal Research Institute for Forest Snow and Landscape Research WSL Birmensdorf Switzerland)
• Liang Eryuan (State Key Laboratory of Tibetan Plateau Earth System, Environment and Resources (TPESER) Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China)
• Mäkinen Harri (Department of Forests Natural Resources Institute Finland Espoo Finland)
• Oberhuber Walter (Department of Botany Leopold-Franzens-University of Innsbruck Innsbruck Austria)
• Rathgeber Cyrille B. K. (Université de Lorraine, AgroParisTech, INRAE Silva Nancy France)
• Tognetti Roberto (Dipartimento di Agricoltura, Ambiente e Alimenti Università degli Studi del Molise Campobasso Italy)
• Treml Václav (Department of Physical Geography and Geoecology Charles University Prague Czech Republic)
• Yang Bao (Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China)
• Zhai Lihong (South China National Botanical Garden Guangzhou China)
• Zhang Jiao-Lin (CAS Key Laboratory of Tropical Forest Ecology, Xishuangbanna Tropical Botanical Garden Chinese Academy of Sciences Mengla Yunnan China)
• Antonucci Serena (Dipartimento di Agricoltura, Ambiente e Alimenti Università degli Studi del Molise Campobasso Italy)
• Bergeron Yves (Forest Research Institute Université du Quebec en Abitibi-Témiscamingue Rouyn-Noranda Quebec Canada)
• Camarero Jesus Julio (Instituto Pirenaico de Ecología (IPE-CSIC) Zaragoza Spain)
• Campelo Filipe (Centre for Functional Ecology, Department of Life Sciences University of Coimbra Coimbra Portugal)
• Čufar Katarina (Biotechnical Faculty University of Ljubljana Ljubljana Slovenia)
• Cuny Henri E. (IGN, Direction Interrégionale NordEst Champigneulles France)
• De Luis Martin (Department of Geography and Regional Planning Environmental Science Institute, University of Zaragoza Zaragoza Spain)
• Fajstavr Marek (Department of Wood Science and Wood Technology Mendel University in Brno Brno Czech Republic)
• Giovannelli Alessio (CNR – Istituto di Ricerca sugli Ecosistemi Terrestri IRET Sesto Fiorentino Italy)
• Gričar Jožica (Slovenian Forestry Institute Ljubljana Slovenia)
• Gruber Andreas (Department of Botany Leopold-Franzens-University of Innsbruck Innsbruck Austria)
• Gryc Vladimír (Department of Wood Science and Wood Technology Mendel University in Brno Brno Czech Republic)
• Güney Aylin (Izmir Katip Çelebi University, Faculty of Forestry Izmir Turkey)
• Jyske Tuula (Department of Forests Natural Resources Institute Finland Espoo Finland)
• Kašpar Jakub (Department of Forest Ecology Silva Tarouca Research Institute for Landscape and Ornamental Gardening Průhonice Czech Republic)
• King Gregory (Department of Sciences University of Alberta Camrose Alberta Canada)
• Krause Cornelia (Laboratoire sur les écosystèmes terrestres boréaux, Département des Sciences Fondamentales Université du Québec à Chicoutimi Chicoutimi Quebec Canada)
• Lemay Audrey (Laboratoire sur les écosystèmes terrestres boréaux, Département des Sciences Fondamentales Université du Québec à Chicoutimi Chicoutimi Quebec Canada)
• Liu Feng (Key Laboratory of Aquatic Botany and Watershed Ecology, Wuhan Botanical Garden Chinese Academy of Sciences Wuhan China)
• Lombardi Fabio (AGRARIA Department Mediterranean University of Reggio Calabria Reggio Calabria Italy)
• del Castillo Edurne Martinez (Department of Geography and Regional Planning Environmental Science Institute, University of Zaragoza Zaragoza Spain)
• Morin Hubert (Laboratoire sur les écosystèmes terrestres boréaux, Département des Sciences Fondamentales Université du Québec à Chicoutimi Chicoutimi Quebec Canada)
• Nabais Cristina (Centre for Functional Ecology, Department of Life Sciences University of Coimbra Coimbra Portugal)
• Nöjd Pekka (Department of Forests Natural Resources Institute Finland Espoo Finland)
• Peters Richard L. (Laboratory of Plant Ecology, Department of Plants and Crops Faculty of Bioscience Engineering, Ghent University Ghent Belgium)
• Prislan Peter (Biotechnical Faculty University of Ljubljana Ljubljana Slovenia)
• Saracino Antonio (Department of Agricultural Sciences University of Naples Federico II Portici-Napoli Italy)
• Shishov Vladimir V. (Institute of Economics and Trade Siberian Federal University Krasnoyarsk Russia)
• Swidrak Irene (Department of Botany Leopold-Franzens-University of Innsbruck Innsbruck Austria)
• Vavrčík Hanuš (Department of Wood Science and Wood Technology Mendel University in Brno Brno Czech Republic)
• Vieira Joana (Centre for Functional Ecology, Department of Life Sciences University of Coimbra Coimbra Portugal)
• Zeng Qiao (Key Lab of Guangdong for Utilization of Remote Sensing and Geographical Information System, Guangdong Open Laboratory of Geospatial Information Technology and Application Guangzhou Institute of Geography Guangzhou China)
• Liu Yu (The State Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology, Institute of Earth Environment Chinese Academy of Sciences Xi'an China)
• Rossi Sergio (Laboratoire sur les écosystèmes terrestres boréaux, Département des Sciences Fondamentales Université du Québec à Chicoutimi Chicoutimi Quebec Canada)

• Ядро РИНЦ (eLIBRARY.RU)