Тип публикации: статья из журнала
Год издания: 2018
Идентификатор DOI: 10.3103/S1068373918070051
Ключевые слова: Meteorological data, weather fire danger index, hydrothermal coefficient, relative burned area, fire return period
Аннотация: Subregional occurrence of fires in Siberian forests and seasonal variations in heat and moisture supply are analyzed. Instrumental data on wildfires registered through satellite monitoring data for the period of 1996-2016 are used. The dynamics of the weather fire danger index (PV-1) and intraseasonal anomalies of the Selyaninov's hydrothermal coefficient (HTC) defining fire occurrence variation are revealed using meteorological data series for the Siberian subregions. The statistical regularities of the dynamics of the weather fire danger index are summarized for subregions. The separated scenarios are formalized by model functions. The projections of the probability of the scenarios' implementation, the fire return period, and the respective relative burned area are determined.
Издание
Журнал: RUSSIAN METEOROLOGY AND HYDROLOGY
Выпуск журнала: Vol. 43, Is. 7
Номера страниц: 456-463
ISSN журнала: 10683739
Место издания: MOSCOW
Издатель: PLEIADES PUBLISHING INC
Персоны
- Ponomarev E.I. (Russian Acad Sci, Siberian Branch, Sukachev Inst Forest, Akademgorodok 50,Str 28, Krasnoyarsk 660036, Russia; Siberian Fed Univ, Svobodnyi Pr 79, Krasnoyarsk 660041, Russia)
- Skorobogatova A.S. (Siberian Fed Univ, Svobodnyi Pr 79, Krasnoyarsk 660041, Russia)
- Ponomareva T.V. (Russian Acad Sci, Siberian Branch, Sukachev Inst Forest, Akademgorodok 50,Str 28, Krasnoyarsk 660036, Russia; Siberian Fed Univ, Svobodnyi Pr 79, Krasnoyarsk 660041, Russia)
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